NFL • What's the ticket really worth?
Pick your legs and enter the payout. We show the chance the ticket cashes, based on how NFL games have actually landed around the line, and what the payout would need to be fair. It prices a ticket. It doesn't pick winners.
Ticket type
Payout (American odds)
Typical numbers are filled in. Use the ones your book actually offers.
How it works: for each leg we look at 5,199 NFL regular-season games from 2006–2025 with a similar closing line (weighted toward the exact number, with each team's own point of view, so the clumps at 3 and 7 are kept) and count how often that leg would have cashed. Legs in different games are treated as independent. In history, a game's spread result and total result show almost no link (correlation 0.03), so two legs from the same game are treated that way too.
A pushed leg is removed. If every leg pushes, or a teaser is left with one winner, the stake comes back; a parlay left with one winner pays as a single −110 bet. Books' rules vary. Lines outside the range of history use the nearest line we have and are flagged. Past results don't predict future results. For entertainment purposes only.